Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustafa Akal Author-Email: akal@sakarya.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Sakarya Üniversitesi Title: Forecasting Turkey's Energy Gap By AR(I)MAX Technique Abstract: This study aims to explain and forecast energy gap (kt. of oil equivalent) of Turkey by AR(I)MAX technique due to its forecast accuracy advantages by accounting for autoregressive-moving average and econometric cause effect factors for the period of 2012-2023. The energy gap of Turkey is found dependable on the energy use per capita, openness level, the earlier year's energy gap (energy import) and time factor positively and shocks, which necessitate researching new energy sources, policies and strategies to reduce the gap in this open economy. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 1-10 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-01 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/713 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:1-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Taha Bilişik Author-Email: m.bilisik@iku.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Kültür Üniversitesi Author-Name: Funda H. Sezgin Author-Email: hfundasezgin@yahoo.com Author-Workplace-Name: İstanbul Üniversitesi Author-Name: Şakir Esnaf Author-Email: sesnaf@istanbul.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: İstanbul Üniversitesi Title: Dynamic Pricing for Revenue Management in Retailing Using Support Vector Machine, Poisson Regression and Nonlinear Programming Abstract: In recent years, dynamic pricing studies which depend on price-based revenue management have increased significantly due to the devolopments in predictive modeling softwares. Accordingly, studies dealing with the prediction of demand functions and price optimizations have also increased. In this research, a new methodology which could be used in retailing is suggested. In this context, support vector machine which depends on statistical learning and poisson regression which deals with count data is used separately in a comparative manner. In the result of comparisons, using the demand functions of the better forecasting model which has the lowest forecasting errors among them, price based revenue functions are generated. After this, in the case of unlimited capacity, taking the derivative of these previously obtained price based revenue functions or alternatively by using unconstrained nonlinear programming, optimal sales prices which maximized the relevant revenue functions are determined. In the case of limited capacity, price based revenue functions are rearranged according to the relation between price and demand and these rearranged revenue functions are proposed to be the objective function of nonlinear programming model given in this study. Adding capacity constraints to the model, similarly, optimal dynamic price policy which maximized revenue function of the retailer are constructed for the limited capacity conditions. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 11-34 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-02 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/714 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:11-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pınar Altıok Gürel Author-Email: pinaraltinok01@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Nişantaşı Üniversitesi Title: A Proposal For Crisis Management Process And Pre-Crisis Early Warning System in Enterprises Abstract: Today, rapid changes in national and international environmental conditions significantly affect organizations and drive them to various risks, uncertainties, threats and complex crisis situations. The ability of organizations to maintain their existence depends on their ability to protect themselves from these threats or to evaluate opportunities. Crises can often come with warning signals, or with sudden new formations. The purpose of this study is to suggest an early warning model based on statistical and financial tables for the early warning system that takes the first place in the pre-crisis management process in the enterprises. For the period of 2008.Q3, in which the financial crisis was experienced effectively, with the reason of being a reference early warning system for 147 industrial companies in BIST, it was solved with the help of factor analysis. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 35-50 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-03 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/715 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:35-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nevzat Demir Author-Email: n.demir@firat.com Author-Workplace-Name: Fırat Plastik Corporation Title: The Effect of Work-Life Balance on Organizational Commitment: Banking Sector Example For Women's Workers Abstract: Work and family are considered as the two most important central areas of life. Work and family balance refers to coordination of work and family life in harmony, thus ensuring satisfaction in both areas of life. The most important factor in maintaining a balanced life for an individual is the availability of work and family balance. Because the imbalance between the two living spaces triggers stress and creates work and family conflict; This affects the quality of work and family life and individual welfare in a negative way and reduces job performance and negatively affects the loyalty. The aim of the study is to determine the effects of the work-life balance of female employees on organizational commitment in the banking sector, which is intensive heavy work, with the help of the structural equality model. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that as the work-life balance increases, organizational commitment increases and the work-life balance has a positive effect on organizational commitment by 72%. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 50-74 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-04 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/716 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:50-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ece Erkan Author-Email: eceerkannn@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Author-Name: Rahmi Yamak Author-Email: yamak@ktu.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Title: Determinants of Divorce in Turkey: Panel Data Analysis Abstract: In today's world, the phenomenon of divorce has been simplified into a something fashionable with the effects of social transformation and become a rapidly growing social problem. Understanding the phenomenon of divorce and accurately analyzing the rapid growth in crude divorce rates in Turkey depends on the isolation of the factors which cause the couples to terminate their family unions. The purpose of this study is to investigate the determinants of crude divorce rates in all of Turkey on the basis of 26 sub-regions, for the period of 2007-2015. It is thought that the study will make a serious contribution to the available literature by virtue of highlighting regional differences and being comprehensive. Our analysis utilizes panel datasets based on labor force status, education level and the country's overall development level. In this study, we propose seven different models using fixed and random effects panel regression models. To broadly share our findings, female labor force participation rates and unemployment rates increase the rate of crude divorce. An adverse relationship was found between male unemployment rates and crude divorce rates. When we looked at education, we observed that an increase in women's education levels increased crude divorce rates in Turkey. We find a positive correlation between per capita electricity consumption and crude divorce rates. Moreover, we show that there are significant regional differences between the East and the West of Turkey insofar as divorce rates are concerned. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 75-94 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-05 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/717 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:75-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alper Yalçın Author-Email: alperyalcin36@hotmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Kafkas Üniversitesi Author-Name: Sevda Yalçın Author-Email: sevdayalcin3636@hotmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Kafkas Üniversitesi Title: Economic Appearance of South Caucasus Countries on the Twenty-fifth Anniversary of Independence Abstract: The South Caucasus geography is one of the most complex regions in the world that embraces ethnic, religious, political, cultural and social differences. The features it possesses have the potential to lay the groundwork for the conflicts of power and interests of global and regional actors. The region is particularly important in terms of the intersection of Eastern-Western energy and transportation corridors and having the Caspian Basin energy resources. Following the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the creation of three independent states in this region (Georgia April 1991, Armenia August 1991 and Azerbaijan October 1991) caused new economic, military and political values to emerge in the South Caucasus. This study will analyze the economic outlook of the Southern Caucasus Countries during the twenty-five years they spent from their independence to the present day in light of various indicators comparatively. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 95-112 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-06 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/718 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:95-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Hanefi Topal Author-Email: mhanefitopal@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Gümüşhane Üniversitesi Author-Name: Mustafa Ünver Author-Email: mustafaunver@kku.edu.tr Author-Name: Salih Türedi Author-Email: salih.turedi@erdogan.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Universitesi Title: The Impact of Government Quality and Public Sector Size on Economic Growth in Turkic Republics: An Empirical Analysis Abstract: The aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of public sector size and quality of government on economic growth for seven Turkic Republics, including Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan. It used panel seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) approach for analyzing relationships between variables during the period 2002-2015. According to the obtained results, quality of government in Turkey, Azerbaijan, Kazakhistan, and Uzbekistan has a statistically significant and positive effect on economic growth while it has statistically insignificant effect in Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, and Tajikistan. On the other hand, public sector size has positive effect on economic growth in other Turkic Republics while the impact of public sector size on economic growth is negative in only Turkey. In Turkic Republics, it can be claimed, therefore, that process of the transition to market economy and sustainable growth are run together with transformation of state. More specifically, healthier state-market harmony supports reforms applied in enhancing quality of government for the findings of Turkey. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 113-133 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-07 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/719 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:113-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volkan Yurdadoğ Author-Email: vyurdadog@cu.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Çukurova Üniversitesi Author-Name: Neslihan Çoşkun Karadağ Author-Email: ncoskun@cu.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Çukurova Üniversitesi Title: Evaluation of Tax Amnesties in the Context of Empirical Studies Devoted to Turkey Abstract: Governments often resort to tax amnesties for political, economic, fiscal and administrative reasons. However, tax amnesties adversely affect fairness and equality principles, while negatively affecting tax compliance and reducing obedience to tax laws. Due to the amnesty laws, which are often accepted, the increased forgiveness expectation induce taxpayers to not to pay their due on time, but sends them to pay with a new payment plan at a later date. This situation negatively affects the planned tax revenues to be collected on the basis of general and persistent tax legislation.This situation negatively affects the planned tax revenues to be collected on the basis of general and persistent tax legislation.The obligation to resort to the tax amnesty law for tax collection is becoming a vicious cycle when it is combining with political and economic justifications. The accuracy of all these discourses has been subject do different studies. In this study, the arguments advocated by supporters and opponents to tax amnesties will be evaluated based on the results of empirical studies in Turkey. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 134-164 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-08 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/720 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:134-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Halim Kazan Author-Email: halimkazan@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Istanbul University Author-Name: Engin Karaman Author-Email: e-karaman99@hotmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Istanbul University Title: Assessment of TEOG Examination Success: Topsis Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Method Practice Abstract: Turkey held various examinations with different names under the name of system of transition to secondary education in the last 30 years. However, each examination method was found inadequate and Turkish education system could not reach the desired success in PISA examination in which student levels of countries that are members of OECD are assessed. For this reason, it was embarked on new quests. TEOG examination was prepared according to semester curriculum, unlike antecedents which are consisted of single day and sessions. Thus, subjective error was minimized in the assessment by reducing the negative effect of the anxiety level factor in assessment of the student. Also, influence degree of school success points was increased. Hence, creation of a process-oriented education model was targeted not result-oriented. In this study; it was started to be searched whether TEOG examination is different from Institutions' Examination, LGS, OKS, SBS, OGES examinations used in transition to the secondary education in the previous years or not. The essential point in the research is to present success performances of schools after it was explained the PISA examination. In last section, it was examined feature of Decision-Making and Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Technique. In implementation phase Successes of 23 secondary schools operating at education-training in Ceylanpınar county which was selected as the pilot region in Şanlıurfa were examined in order to show difference of TEOG examination from the other examinations. 6 courses taught in pilot schools within the scope of TEOG central examination were selected. Success averages of courses selected were weighted and pointed with TOPSIS method which is Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Technique (MCDM). Points were mixed and a ranking was formed. Significant differences were found between the ranking obtained as a result of the study and ranking published by Ministry of National Education. While there is no change in lower and upper ranks in the both rankings, great ranking differences were found in mid-ranks. Journal: Eurasian Business & Economics Journal Pages: 165-179 Volume: 8 Issue: 8 Year: 2017 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.econ.2017.V8-09 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/busecon/article/view/721 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:buseco:v:8:y:2017:i:8:p:165-179