Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Çiğdem Yılmaz ÖZSOY Author-Email: cigdem_yilmazz@hotmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: İstanbul Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Ekonometri Ana Bilim Dalı, Doktora Öğrencisi Author-Name: Raife Y. EYİLER Author-Email: cigdem_yilmazz@hotmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Ticaret Üniversitesi, Dış Ticaret Enstitüsü, Uluslararası Ticaret, Doktora Öğrencisi Title: Key Factors Affecting Gold Prices On A Case Study in Turkey Abstract: In this study, withthe gram goldsellingpriceswhichareformed in Istanbul Gold Exchange, international macro factors which can affect gold price; gold selling price (US $ / ounce), theAmerican Central Bank interest rate (FED), the determination of other oil reference price declares that the BRENT oil price, with the Dow Jones Industrial Index, Turkey macro data from the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the US Dollar Rate / TL purchase price, and Turkey's gold imports were discussed and nalyzed. The period during which the analysis is carried out; 157 months between 2004: January and 2018: January. Stationary property of the series was determined by the ADF unit root test before analysis was started. The long term relationships between variables and their short-term dynamics are examined in the Johansen Cointegration Test and Error Correction (VECM) Model framework.According to the results with gram gold selling price of BRENT oil prices, Fed interest rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Index and Turkey's gold imports, and the dollar exchange rate has been found to be associated with long-term CPI. In the error correcting (VECM) model established to elicit a long-term relationship, the error correction term is negative and statistically significant as expected, indicating that it will turn into a long term equilibrium. Journal: Eurasian Econometrics Statistics & Emprical Economics Journal Pages: 1-22 Volume: 10 Issue: 10 Year: 2018 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.stat.2018â€�V10â€�01 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/econstat/article/view/962 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:econst:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:1-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nurkhodzha AKBULAEV Author-Email: nurhoca@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Azerbaycan Devlet İktisat Üniversitesi UNEC Türk Dünyası İşletme Fakültesi, İktisat ve İşletme Bölümü, Dr. Author-Name: Besti ALİYEVA Author-Email: bastiyusifova@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Azerbaycan Devlet İktisat Üniversitesi UNEC, Türk Dünyası İşletme Fakültesi İktisat ve İşletme Bölümü, Öğr.Gör. Title: RISK EXPOSURE VALUE: AN APPLICATION ON DERIVATIVES Abstract: In recent years, the importance of managing market risks has been increasing in order to control the effects of market volatility in financial institutions. Risk exposure value (VaR), an approach of risk management, is adopted by both practitioners and supervisory agencies. Traditionally, banks, free funds, pension funds, mutual funds and investment trusts use Riske Exposure Value to measure market risk and investment performance. The purpose of this article is to provide information about the VaR, which is the version used in the finance field in general, to explain the derivative products that have an important role in the finance field and to show the VaR's possibilities with the calculations on the assets traded on the Futures and Options Exchange. In this article, risk concept and risk management are examined. RISK The general and basic information about the Exposure Value has been transferred. The riskier concept in terms of risk and risk management has been applied on EUR / TL, USD / TL and Gold contract prices traded on VOB. When the investment portfolio was created as a result of the study, it was determined that the most risk reduction was achieved. Journal: Eurasian Econometrics Statistics & Emprical Economics Journal Pages: 23-38 Volume: 10 Issue: 10 Year: 2018 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.stat.2018â€�V10â€�02 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/econstat/article/view/963 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:econst:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:23-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustafa Emre CİVELEK Author-Email: ecivelek@ticaret.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Istanbul Commerce University, Business Administration Faculty, International Logistics Department Title: Comparison of Covariance-Based and Partial Least Square Structural Equation Modeling Methods under Non-Normal Distribution and Small Sample Size Limitations Abstract: This study contains a repetition of the data analysis part of a research conducted on building the trust of generation Y customers in B2C websites. In this base study, since the samples size was a limitation of the study, analyses were conducted again by using CB-SEM and PLS-SEM methods separately and the results were compared in small sample size and non-normal distribution. Consistent results were obtained in all of tests of the hypotheses. Finding of this study highlighted the differences between CB-SEM and PLS-SEM and also compared the results obtained different estimation methods of ML, ADF and GLS under non-normal distribution and small sample size limitations. Journal: Eurasian Econometrics Statistics & Emprical Economics Journal Pages: 39-50 Volume: 10 Issue: 10 Year: 2018 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.stat.2018â€�V10â€�03 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/econstat/article/view/964 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:econst:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:39-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ece ERKAN Author-Email: eceerkannn@gmail.com Author-Workplace-Name: Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, SBE Ekonometri Ana Bilim Dalı Doktora Öğrencisi Author-Name: Rahmi YAMAK Author-Email: yamak@ktu.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, İİBF Ekonometri Bölümü, Prof. Dr. Title: STRUCTURE AND DIMENSION OF SEASONALITY IN SUICIDE CASES: THE CASE OF TURKEY Abstract: Many researchers have investigated for a long time whether seasonal changes have an effect on the suicide cases. If there is a seasonal effect, they have researched on which periods of the year suicide cases decrease or increase. Before determining the causes of suicide attempts of individuals, investigating the periodic course of suicidal behaviours generally and making a scheme are quite important to detect the underlying factors of suicide. In this context, the purpose of this study is to investigate whether the suicidal behaviours in Turkey, considering the gender issue, include seasonal components or not. The monthly suicide case data from 2000 to 2016 are analysed by advanced time series techniques. While many studies have investigated this issue, there are few studies examining seasonal effects by using advanced time series techniques. In this respect, it is thought that the current study will considerably contribute to the literature. According to the findings, suicide cases include a deterministic seasonal process in Turkey. When the seasonal movements were examined, it was observed that they were stable and very close to each other. In contrast to the theoretical expectation, it was found that the series of suicide cases were additively formed in terms of seasonality. People in Turkey commit suicide mostly during spring and summer seasons. This finding supports the spring-summer summit, which corresponds in the literature. The number of suicide cases reaches the peak in June for women and in July for men. At the beginning and the end of the year, there is a decline in the number of suicide cases. Journal: Eurasian Econometrics Statistics & Emprical Economics Journal Pages: 51-67 Volume: 10 Issue: 10 Year: 2018 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.stat.2018â€�V10â€�04 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/econstat/article/view/965 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:econst:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:51-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan ÇETİNOĞLU Author-Email: hakancetinoglu@arel.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: İstanbul Arel Üniversitesi, Istanbul, Turkey, Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Author-Name: Levent DALYANCI Author-Email: leventdalyanci@arel.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: İstanbul Arel Üniversitesi, Istanbul, Turkey, Doç.Dr Title: A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS FOR INFRASTRUCTURE QUALITY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE Abstract: In this study, it is analyzed infrastructure quality by infrastructure type including roads, railroads, ports and airport transportation by using parametric hypothesis tests for the 108 countries across the world. According to the results from the study, there is not a significant difference between infrastructure quality of roads and ports. On the other hand, there are significant differences among the all the infrastructure types except roads and ports. It can be concluded that air transport infrastructure has the best infrastructure quality. The railroad infrastructure has the worst infrastructure quality. The infrastructure quality for roads and ports are better than railroad infrastructure but worse than air transport infrastructure. It is vital to develop infrastructure quality by infrastructure type to achieve better international trade conditions for the welfare of the global society. Journal: Eurasian Econometrics Statistics & Emprical Economics Journal Pages: 68-76 Volume: 10 Issue: 10 Year: 2018 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.stat.2018â€�V10â€�05 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/econstat/article/view/966 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:econst:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:68-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volkan SEVİNÇ Author-Email: vsevinc@mu.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: Muğla Sıtkı Koçman Üniversitesi Fen Fakültesi, Kötekli Kampüsü, Muğla, Yrd. Doç. Dr. Title: A BAYES NETWORK ANALYSIS FOR BANKING'S CONSUMER LOAN ALLOCATION Abstract: One of the solutions that consumers apply to afford some of their needs is consumer credit. Consumer credits mainly form three groups: Mortgage credits, personal finance credits and vehicle credits. When banks are allocating those credits to their customers they make an evaluation of the customers according to some criteria. At the end of this evaluation they accept or reject the credit demands. This manuscript provides a simultaneous analysis of the variables belonging to the consumer credit customers by means of a Bayesian network. The analysis includes the relationship of the variables with each other and the decision of the bank. According to the analysis it has been detected that banks tend to give the personal finance credit more easily to the all age and occupation groups. The mortgage credit, however, is the most difficult to get. As far as the vehicle credit applications are concerned, age appears to be an important factor to get the credit. Journal: Eurasian Econometrics Statistics & Emprical Economics Journal Pages: 77-84 Volume: 10 Issue: 10 Year: 2018 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.stat.2018â€�V10â€�06 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/econstat/article/view/967 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:econst:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:77-84 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan ÇETİNOĞLU Author-Email: hakancetinoglu@arel.edu.tr Author-Workplace-Name: İstanbul Arel Üniversitesi, Istanbul, Turkey Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Title: AN ANALYSIS OF TRADE BARRIERS TO THE INTERNATIONAL TRADE BY THE REGIONS IN THE WORLD ECONOMY Abstract: The main aim of the study is to investigate whether trade barriers by the regions in the world economy is a significant difference or not. According to the empirical results, Africa region has the lowest trade barriers; on the other hand, Europe region has the highest trade barriers. There is not a significant difference for trade barriers of America, Asia, and Africa In order to increase the welfare of the global society, it is vital to reduce trade barriers and increase international trade volume, depending on the international competitiveness of countries and regions. Journal: Eurasian Econometrics Statistics & Emprical Economics Journal Pages: 85-93 Volume: 10 Issue: 10 Year: 2018 Month: Feb DOI: 10.17740/eas.stat.2018â€�V10â€�07 File-URL: https://eurasianacademy.org/index.php/econstat/article/view/968 File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eas:econst:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:85-93